Expert Political Judgment
How Good is It? How Can We Know?
Price for Eshop: 978 Kč (€ 39.1)
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New
English
Expected delivery time 14-30 days
Book information
Princeton University Press
USA
2006
Paperback
344
Heavy
286617
978-0-691-12871-9
0-691-12871-5
Political science & theory
Annotation
The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This book fills that need. It explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
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